How Detect Relationship Between Tourism, Local Income, And Human Capital In Madura?

Alifah Rokhmah Idialis

Abstract


This research trying to discovered causality between Local government revenue, human development index as driven factor for tourism in Madura. In this research using secondary data with period observation from 2005 until 2016. With using descriptive statistic, Johansen cointegration test, and granger causality as statistical analysis this research was estimated and got some result. Descriptive statistics result found the average of local government revenue, amount of tourist arrivals, and human development index (IPM) in Madura still smallest compared with average of East Java Province. Johansen cointegration test shows all of variables cointegrated in r =2. It means there is two long term relationship between variables in this research. The last result from Granger causality demonstrated there was direct causality from human development index and local government revenue to the tourist arrivals. Another causality test expressed direct causality from local government revenue to human development index

 

Keywords: Tourism, human development index, local government revenue; Johansen Cointegration, Granger Causality

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